South Korea’s Climate and Energy Strategy Amid the Hormuz Crisis
ㅣKarl Yang, Founder & Executive Director of KoSIF ㅣ
Climate strategy must move beyond environmental campaigns to become a security strategy for industrial sustainability.
The Hormuz crisis is an opportunity to turn misfortune
into a blessing—it is time to demonstrate a concrete energy and climate
security strategy.
Every time gunfire echoes around the Strait of Hormuz
in the Middle East, the pulse of the South Korean economy quickens.
What initially began with the language of
dictatorship, nuclear weapons, and retaliation is increasingly revealing its
true colors as an energy war. As gas fields, oil refineries, and maritime
shipping lanes emerge as core military targets, we are painfully witnessing
just how vulnerable the energy structure of the South Korean economy truly is.
The True Nature of the War is
Revealed by Its Targets
The essence of a war is told by its targets. In this
conflict, precision strikes did not spare infrastructure; gas fields, export
hubs, and refining and power generation infrastructure were all shaken
alongside military facilities.
Whenever the threat of a blockade in the Strait of
Hormuz escalates, international oil and LNG prices skyrocket. The aftershocks
immediately ripple through the import-dependent South Korean economy. Gasoline
prices surge, power costs fluctuate, and manufacturing costs
rise—simultaneously putting pressure on inflation and the trade balance.
Geopolitical shocks in the Middle East directly translate into industrial
crises for South Korea.
This war has also exposed an uncomfortable truth about
South Korea’s energy policy. While we talk about carbon neutrality in times of
peace, our immediate response to a crisis is to fall back on coal and nuclear
power. Setting aside preferences for specific power sources, this reveals that
our energy procurement system relies far too heavily on overseas fossil fuel
shipping lanes.
The issue with the fossil fuel regime is not just
carbon emissions. A greater vulnerability lies in the fact that it holds us
hostage to geopolitical risks such as wars and maritime blockades.
Climate Strategy is National
Security
We must learn a cold lesson from this war. Climate
strategy can no longer remain just an environmental campaign. It must be a
security strategy that determines national survival and industrial
sustainability.
From this perspective, the era of viewing renewable
energy expansion merely as a tool for carbon reduction is passing. Solar and
wind power do not pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Energy storage systems
(ESS) do not require naval escorts. Distributed power systems do not grind to a
halt just because a distant foreign gas field is bombed.
Of course, renewable energy alone cannot solve every
problem overnight. However, if the expansion of renewables, the reinforcement
of storage systems, investment in the power grid, the electrification of
industry, and the advancement of demand management systems are pursued
together, it ceases to be a simple eco-friendly policy. Instead, it becomes a
security infrastructure that shields the national economy from external shocks.
Turning Crisis into
Opportunity: Reducing External Dependence
We must use the current shock as an opportunity to
turn misfortune into a blessing. We cannot settle for stopgap responses to
surging oil prices and supply instability. We must fundamentally restructure
our energy system to reduce our dependence on Middle Eastern straits.
Relying on new overland routes proposed by certain
conflict parties may serve as a supplementary measure, but it is not enough.
Whether by sea or land, as long as we entrust our fate to external pathways, we
will remain hostages to fortune.
The true solution lies not in changing external
routes, but in reducing our dependence on external routes altogether. This
means expanding renewable energy, strengthening energy independence, and
redesigning industrial competitiveness.
Energy Transition is a Matter
of Sovereignty
A genuine climate response and decarbonization
transition cannot be achieved through the superficial management of carbon
numbers. It requires the risk-management capability to protect our economic
system from external geopolitical shocks, and the sovereign capability to
diversify and domesticate our energy pathways. Energy transition is not a
question of technology, but of sovereignty; it is not an issue of the
environment, but of security.
The homework left for us by the flames in the Middle
East is clear. Climate policy is no longer the task of a single ministry. It is
a top-priority national strategy that must be tackled jointly by defense,
industry, finance, and trade.
Instead of letting the Hormuz crisis pass with fear
and temporary fixes, we must use it as a turning point to aggressively push
forward South Korea’s energy transition and energy security. It is time to
prove through concrete policies that climate strategy is, indeed, security
strategy.