English translation of KoSIF’s Korean content — the Korean version is the authoritative source.
Looking at the Amendment to the Framework Act on Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth
ㅣ Karl Yang, Founder & Executive Director of KoSIF ㅣ
The National Assembly recently passed an amendment to the ‘Framework Act on
Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth’ through a bipartisan agreement. First of
all, enshrining the National Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets (NDCs) for 2035
(53–61%), 2040 (69–80%), and 2045 (84–90%) into law and establishing support
measures for industry reduction implementation represent meaningful progress.
It is also an important first step by the legislature to fill the legislative
void following last year's Constitutional Court ruling, which declared an
unconstitutional lack of reduction pathways after 2031.
The Ultimate Challenge of Carbon Neutrality Is Transition
Planning, Not Setting Reduction Targets
However, it
remains doubtful whether codifying reduction targets into law alone can achieve
actual carbon neutrality. Carbon neutrality is not a matter of declaring a
target, but an execution issue of transition. In particular, the political
compromise of presenting national reduction targets as a ‘range’ rather than a
single figure and aligning regulatory standards with the lower bound
paradoxically demonstrates that we have yet to establish concrete
implementation standards for how to reduce
emissions. Without concrete implementation standards, transition simply cannot
occur.
Until now,
Korea's climate policy has focused excessively on the numerical target of how much to reduce. However, the real success of policy
hinges on how to reduce. The success of carbon neutrality is
determined by when and with what financial resources the steel industry will
commit capital investments to commercialize hydrogen-based steelmaking; in what
sequence the power generation industry will phase out coal-fired power plants;
at what pace financial institutions will reallocate exposure to high-carbon
industries; and how the automotive industry will restructure internal
combustion engine supply chains into low-carbon systems. The sum of all these
strategies and capital executions is precisely the ‘Transition Plan.’
The
international community has already shifted its focus from reduction targets to
transition plans across policy and market domains. The International
Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) requires companies to disclose everything
from the climate scenarios used and their overall strategies to the specific
capital expenditure (CapEx) plans backing them. The European Union’s Corporate
Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) and the UK’s Transition Plan
Taskforce (TPT) guidelines have likewise institutionalized requirements for
companies and financial institutions to present actionable transition plans.
Global supply chains and overseas pension funds are categorizing companies
without credible transition plans as risky assets, raising their cost of
capital.
In contrast,
Korea’s policies and markets remain trapped in a target-setting mindset. While
this amendment succeeded in listing target numbers, it failed to provide clear
criteria for what constitutes a credible transition plan. Corporations have a
rough idea of how much they must reduce, but do not know what investment risks
to take to achieve that transition. Financial institutions face major confusion
as well, lacking clear criteria for executing transition finance.
The Success of ‘Transition Finance’ Hinges on Credible
National Guidelines
Transition
finance is not merely about lending money to companies that are already green.
Its core purpose is to supply substantial capital to high-carbon companies that
currently have high emissions but possess credible plans to transform into
low-carbon economies.
The problem is
that the Korean market lacks a national standard for determining what
constitutes a ‘credible transition plan.’ In the absence of standards,
financial institutions and rating agencies apply different criteria, increasing
market confusion and greenwashing risks while severely diminishing the
efficiency of capital allocation.
Korea's climate
policy must now immediately move toward ‘Carbon Neutrality Act 2.0’—the codification of transition plans.
Carbon
neutrality is not achieved by grand declarations alone. Bold investments must
be executed, and investments require credible plans. Moving beyond the era of
targets into the ‘era of credible transition plans
is the most realistic and powerful way to protect the international
competitiveness of Korean industries while achieving carbon neutrality. The
government and the National Assembly must present supplementary measures as
soon as possible.